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11 points
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If Trump loses his career is over. He turned sycophant in order to get the VP pick; turning on every single thing he said about Trump before that.

No one likes a sycophant. And if he then tries to return to his old positions, he’ll be ripped apart by both people who see right through it and by whatever remains of MAGA.

This is a one-shot for Vance. If they lose, he’s going down with Trump.

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2 points

He’s also pretty unlikely to be healthy enough to run again in 4 years.

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