I’ll go first.
I expect this to be the same as 2020, but North Carolina might flip blue.
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The margins are narrow enough that it will be a 2016 style coin flip that’s decided by which way the independent voters break, and the normies are too pissed off at abortion bans and too annoyed by Trump to break for him again.
Unless Genocide Joe managed to completely alienate every Muslim voter in Michigan, and the Pennsylvania margin is narrow enough that the Supreme Court can do another judicial coup.
2 points
Are Muslim voters more likely to vote for Trump who supports Israel even more?
