Every 4 years, like a gassy cicada, I get on this glorious day.

This is my analysis and forecast before I unplug from this shit till tomorrow, maybe even later. You get a blurb and a map, if you want live coverage tune into Hasan, Majority Report, Central Comity, Chapo, etc.

I picked through some polls and tuned into the vibes - I say Harris takes the electoral college, but we all lose in the end. I get the sense that Trump has been over estimated this round because of Roe v. Wade primarily. Up until a few days ago, my money was on Trump still, but the latest Iowa poll flipped my opinion. Here’s my swing state takes.

NV - Harris has generally kept a small lead in the polls for the majority of the time, and I don’t think many people have flipped.

AZ - Trend over the past elections have been shifting to GOP, and polling has held slightly in Trump’s favor.

NC - Historical trend has been moving towards Dems, and the overall trend line of the polling this round tells me that it’s flipping this time around. Trump has been campaigning his ass off there - I think his campaign sees the writing on the wall. Their governor is wildly unpopular.

IA - Des Moines Register poll - they don’t seem to miss. I say IA flips this time.

WI, MI, PA - “Blue wall” holds, women voters pissed about abortion overcomes the uncommitted vote. Harris’ latest speech on Gaza used some harder language that I think will pull in more of those votes. I think Puerto Rican voters are going to be a factor in PA.

GA - Back to GOP. I think the chuds are fired up and are going to turn out more than last time because of how close it was.

So, there ya go. Click the link and click on the states to flip things around if you want to make a prediction map.

Go and