Take-two Interactive hints that long-anticipated GTA 6 could release in 2024.

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0 points

That’s grossing $2 billion. But they’ll still lose money at that point. They will have to net $2 billion, which won’t happen until they sell like $4 billion or more.

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2 points

Assuming that their revenue only came from boxed sales and not the behemoth that is GTA Online, they gross $2B with under 30M copies sold. GTA V has, to date, sold a little shy of 200M copies. GTA VI will be fine. In fact, GTA V made so much money that if they pissed away $2B on GTA VI and it sold zero copies, the company would still be fine. They’ve been making half a billion in profit per year for a long time now.

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2 points

Actually no. They probably did not gross $2 billion until they sold around 40-50 million copies.

GTA6 will have to fully match the success of GTA5 to be a success. That is the risk here.

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1 point

No, it actually doesn’t, and I outlined why in the comment you replied to. In fact, I just checked what GTA V did sales-wise, and that 30M copies sold was passed in its first six weeks. It brought in $2B in its first six months. Of course GTA VI is going to do that again, regardless of what it does in subsequent years. And this is still not factoring in the revenue that GTA Online brings in. It doesn’t have to be anywhere close to being as successful as GTA V in order to make back the $2B they spent making it.

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