God help them. The slaughter to come is probably beyond our imagining

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must ensure everyone adheres to it.

I don’t get to ensure everyone adheres to it, but if someone asks the hypothetical “why shouldn’t I be happy about this right now”, I’m going to chime in.

But you don’t have any special knowledge to evaluate whether it’s a bad deal at this current moment

The bad aspects are baked into the cake. The only thing certain right now is that Israel is about to kill thousands of Palestinians, and I take it that we both agree on that. That’s going to happen whether or not they achieve any strategic aims. It’s not pessimism to acknowledge that any gains are going to have a steep cost, and that such gains are no where near as certain as the cost. Maybe they will come out on top, but they’ve taken a gamble and I don’t feel bad for saying we should wait to see which side the coin comes up before celebrating.

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