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By-election betting market probabilities (as of 1 July)

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theinspectorst@kbin.social
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uk_politics@feddit.uk
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Uxbridge and South Ruislip - 20 July:

  • Lab 95%

  • Con 5%

Selby and Ainsty - 20 July:

  • Lab 63%

  • Con 37%

Somerton and Frome - 20 July:

  • Lib Dem 93%

  • Con 2%

Mid-Bedfordshire - tbc:

  • Lib Dem 62%

  • Con 31%

  • Lab 7%

Rutherglen and Hamilton West - tbc:

  • Lab 89%

  • SNP 1%

Source: Betfair Exchange (mid odds, converted to probabilities).

Note: some of these markets aren’t that liquid so the prices may add up to less than 100%.

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guriinii@lemmy.world
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What are the significance of these particular constituencies?

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15liam20@lemmy.world
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They are all having a by-election later in the month.

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theinspectorst@kbin.socialOP
2 points

They’re the ones that have by-elections coming up.

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