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One could even argue that “keeping people safe” is just a farce, considering having peace within the region is the best way to keep their people safe, yet the current administration is moving away from that, causing the tension to raise within the region.

Clearly Hamas was responsible for breaking the peace in this most recent outbreak of hostilities. Not punching back is a losing move in terms of game theory.


Gaza’s ethnic cleansing.

That is a popular take, but it seems obvious to me that this is about creating distance from belligerent forces in Gaza who are unwilling to pacify themselves rather than ethnic cleansing. 20% of Israel’s citizens are Arab/Palestinian with full rights, and they are not being driven away. Gaza, the West Bank, and Arab citizens of Israel are the same ethnic group but are each treated very differently due to the different threat levels they pose. It’s clear to me this is about something else other than ethnicity.

Many people aren’t aware, but when the shoe was on the other foot, when Arab league Palestinian ally, Jordan, annexed the west bank and Jerusalem, they were not shy about ethnic cleansing. They immediately set about driving out every Jew, destroying their structures with mortar fire, and denying them Jordanian citizenship.

“For the first time in 1,000 years not a single Jew remains in the Jewish Quarter. Not a single building remains intact. This makes the Jews’ return here impossible”

“The operations of calculated destruction were set in motion. I Knew that the Jewish Quarter was densely populated with Jewish populations who caused their fighters a good deal of interference and difficulty. I embarked, therefore on shelling of the quarter with mortars creating harassment and destruction. Only for days after our entry into Jerusalem, the Jewish Quarter become their graveyard. Death and destruction reigned over it. As the down of May 28th was about to break, the Jewish Quarter emerged in convulsive cloud-a cloud of death and agony” -Abdullah el Tell, a commander of the Arab Legion
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Islamization_of_Jerusalem#Islamization_of_Jerusalem_under_Jordanian_rule

Today there are no Jewish citizens of Jordan.


The aggressor(Russia/Israel)

Israel may be on the advantageous side of asymmetrical warfare, but they are not the aggressors, at least not this time. They didn’t start this conflict but I suspect they will end it, (as this is a long conflict there’s plenty of examples of cassis belli for both sides, but if you look at the initial causes of this conflict, the earliest massacres in mandate Palestine, declaration of war on Israel over the 1948 UN borders, or the most recent flare-ups of violence, they were caused by Palestinian aggression.)


the underdog(Ukraine/Palestine Authority, not Hamas) want their land back and won’t compromise.

Ukraine has a viable path to military victory. Palestine does not, (Hamas, Fatah, PA, take your pick…) Ukraine is well aware of their realpolitik situation and has been handling itself very well accordingly. It makes sense for them to be uncompromising regarding annexed territories. Palestinian forces are ignoring their realpolitik situation, poking a bear they cannot defeat for the last century. Being uncompromising has led to their situation today and will likely be their downfall.


Palestine Authority does not have much authority, as they’re not and will not recognized as a state by Israel, even though they demand Palestine to recognize their state.

They don’t have a lot of leverage but I suspect this is something they could include in a peace treaty if they are willing to pacify themselves and make viable concessions.

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4 points
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Clearly Hamas was responsible for breaking the peace in this most recent outbreak of hostilities. Not punching back is a losing move in terms of game theory.

Not relevant to my point.

That is a popular take, but it seems obvious to me that this is about creating distance from belligerent forces in Gaza who are unwilling to pacify themselves rather than ethnic cleansing.

It can be both. It is both.

20% of Israel’s citizens are Arab/Palestinian with full rights, and they are not being driven away.

“Maximum jew, minimum Palestine.”

Gaza, the West Bank, and Arab citizens of Israel are the same ethnic group but are each treated very differently due to the different threat levels they pose. It’s clear to me this is about something else other than ethnicity.

Yes, a nationalism one.

Many people aren’t aware, but when the shoe was on the other foot, when Arab league Palestinian ally, Jordan, annexed the west bank and Jerusalem, they were not shy about ethnic cleansing. They immediately set about driving out every Jew, destroying their structures with mortar fire, and denying them Jordanian citizenship.

So you’re not denying the current situation in Gaza is ethnic cleansing. Interesting.

Israel may be on the advantageous side of asymmetrical warfare, but they are not the aggressors, at least not this time.

Aggressor as in annexing the land of other nation and oppress the citizen within. Who started the war isn’t relevant in my comparison, but if they aren’t oppressed then this war wouldn’t start either.

Palestinian forces are ignoring their realpolitik situation, poking a bear they cannot defeat for the last century. Being uncompromising has led to their situation today and will likely be their downfall.

This is true. Hamas is banking on the empathy the world has on the normal Palestinian and also the support of Iran, but that has backfired on them, causing a genocide.

They don’t have a lot of leverage but I suspect this is something they could include in a peace treaty if they are willing to pacify themselves and make viable concessions.

Pacify. Heh. Hamas did not rule West Bank. Palestine Authority cannot arrest illegal settler for the violent and murder they cause. Palestine Authority cannot object on the building of illegal settlement. Palestine Authority need to have permission from Israel to travel anywhere outside, even to Jordan. Palestinian from West Bank cannot fight back the illegal settler else they would be shot. Palestinian cannot protest else they would be shot.

What sort of pacifying they need to do next? Worship the path every Israeli walk?

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Aggressor as in annexing the land of other nation and oppress the citizen within. Who started the war isn’t relevant in my comparison, but if they aren’t oppressed then this war wouldn’t start either.

I’d argue it is relevant, as the annexations were a direct consequence of said wars, especially the 1948 Palestine war. Causality matters.

So you’re not denying the current situation in Gaza is ethnic cleansing. Interesting.

I don’t think it is, as Israel is not ethnically homogeneous (a requirement for ethnic cleansing under the UN definition,) but if I’m understanding your response correctly you believe that as long as one, “Maxim[izes] jew, minim[izes] Palestine,” it still qualifies.

What sort of pacifying they need to do next? Worship the path every Israeli walk?

Pacify means stop fighting, become peaceful. If that happens I suspect more authority, autonomy, and possibly even Palestinian statehood may become possible one day. It is not possible while they remain belligerent. They cannot win through violence, because Israel is capable of way more of it. They will have to negotiate for it.

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4 points
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I’d argue it is relevant, as the annexations were a direct consequence of said wars, especially the 1948 Palestine war. Causality matters.

Sure.

Jewish immigration to Palestine

Zionism formed in Europe as the national movement of the Jewish people. It sought to reestablish Jewish statehood in the ancient homeland. The first wave of Zionist immigration, dubbed the First Aliyah, lasted from 1882 to 1903. Some 30,000 Jews, mostly from the Russian Empire, reached Ottoman Palestine. They were driven both by the Zionist idea and by the wave of antisemitism in Europe, especially in the Russian Empire, which came in the form of brutal pogroms. They wanted to establish Jewish agricultural settlements and a Jewish majority in the land that would allow them to gain statehood. They mostly settled in the sparsely populated lowlands, which were swampy and subjected to Bedouin robbers.

So Zionist migrate to Palestine and trying to establish their own state there…in 1882.

The Arab inhabitants of Ottoman Palestine who saw the Zionist Jews settle next to them had no national affiliation. They saw themselves as subjects of the Ottoman Empire, members of the Islamic community and as Arabs, geographically, linguistically and culturally. Their strongest affiliation was their clan, family, village or tribe. There was no Arab or Palestinian Arab nationalist movement.

Arabian sees them as friend because culturally they are similar.

In the first two decades of Zionist immigration, most of the opposition came from the wealthy landowners and noblemen who feared they would have to fight the Jews for the land in the future.

The fear at that time only from the land owner, as they doesn’t want someone to simply claim their land for their own(and look what we have today). So yes, like you said, causality matters, Zionism is the cause of the conflict. Much like how Christopher Columbus gain the trust of the native in America when he set foot there and later enslave them, slowly drive them into almost extinction, Arabian accept them, in return they backstab the Arabian.


I don’t think it is, as Israel is not ethnically homogeneous (a requirement for ethnic cleansing under the UN definition,)

Not really.

Definition As ethnic cleansing has not been recognized as an independent crime under international law, there is no precise definition of this concept or the exact acts to be qualified as ethnic cleansing. A United Nations Commission of Experts mandated to look into violations of international humanitarian law committed in the territory of the former Yugoslavia defined ethnic cleansing in its interim report S/25274 as “… rendering an area ethnically homogeneous by using force or intimidation to remove persons of given groups from the area.”

So basically UN did not define it, but according to the report, this is, by definition, a result of ethnic cleansing. At this stage, Israel isn’t exactly there yet. But if they expel Gazan and replaced it with Jewish people, then this fulfill the requirement. However, the definition continued:

In its final report S/1994/674, the same Commission described ethnic cleansing as “… a purposeful policy designed by one ethnic or religious group to remove by violent and terror-inspiring means the civilian population of another ethnic or religious group from certain geographic areas.”

The Commission of Experts also stated that the coercive practices used to remove the civilian population can include: murder, torture, arbitrary arrest and detention, extrajudicial executions, rape and sexual assaults, severe physical injury to civilians, confinement of civilian population in ghetto areas, forcible removal, displacement and deportation of civilian population, deliberate military attacks or threats of attacks on civilians and civilian areas, use of civilians as human shields, destruction of property, robbery of personal property, attacks on hospitals, medical personnel, and locations with the Red Cross/Red Crescent emblem, among others.

The one i highlight is applicable to what Israel did in both Gaza and West Bank for decades.


Pacify means stop fighting, become peaceful.

How much more peaceful do you want the West Bank to be to reach your definition of peaceful?

If that happens I suspect more authority, autonomy, and possibly even Palestinian statehood may become possible one day.

As i put it, the ship already sailed, the current political party and the leader stated repeatedly they doesn’t want a Palestine state to exists.

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