I figure it’s even money between Gruesome Newsom and Chilldawg
Biden is also behind Trump in every swing state. It’s still mostly a coin toss as to who will win in 2024 but it’s not looking great for Biden.
I don’t pay much heed to polls this far out. I think certain demos are pissed at Biden and saying this won’t vote for him now, but as the election grows closer the media will report on more and more crazy shit Trump is saying and people will go back to vootin bluu noo mooter whoo.
Plus the demos he’s polling terribly with tend to be the ones who don’t show at the ballot box much, lib wine will still turn out for him.
But also, I think things are just going to keep getting worse for Biden for the rest of his presidency. Can you only polish a turd so much?
As much as it pains me to agree with the Libs, I think there are some signs that the economy is gradually getting better. Not by much but maybe enough that things will be tolerable. The housing market is still fucked and probably will be for a while, but it has been for a while and people seem just resigned to it. Inflation and gas prices are coming down, there’s been some job and wage growth. Heck even with housing there has been some more building so we actually may see some minor improvement.
This plus the threat of Trump maybe enough for Biden to clinch it.
