| Place | Team | Points | #1 Votes | Movement |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Georgia | 100 | 4 | - |
| 2 | Texas | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 3 | Notre Dame | 82 | 0 | +4 |
| 4 | Ohio State | 80 | 0 | - |
| 5 | Oregon | 65 | 0 | -3 |
| 6 | Miami (FL) | 64 | 0 | +7 |
| 7 | alabama | 62 | 0 | +4 |
| 8 | Oklahoma | 60 | 0 | - |
| 9 | USC | 59 | 0 | +9 |
| 10 | Ole Miss | 58 | 0 | - |
| 10 | Penn State | 58 | 0 | -4 |
| 12 | Michigan | 51 | 0 | - |
| 13 | Tennessee | 42 | 0 | +3 |
| 14 | Missouri | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 | Utah | 37 | 0 | +4 |
| 16 | Oklahoma State | 36 | 0 | -3 |
| 17 | Georgia Tech | 27 | 0 | NR |
| 17 | Kansas | 27 | 0 | +6 |
| 19 | LSU | 24 | 0 | -10 |
| 20 | Florida State | 22 | 0 | -15 |
| 20 | Kansas State | 22 | 0 | +3 |
| 20 | Louisville | 22 | 0 | NR |
| 20 | SMU | 22 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 | Boston College | 20 | 0 | NR |
| 24 | Iowa | 20 | 0 | -2 |
Others receiving votes: Texas A&M (19), Clemson (15), Wisconsin (12), Vanderbilt (11), Kentucky (10), UNLV (8), Maryland (7), Boise State (6), Iowa State (6), NC State (5), Auburn (4), Arizona (3), UCF (3), Washington (3), Virginia Tech (2), Arizona State (1)
Link to the results spreadsheet HERE
Link for next weeks poll HERE
Link to submit your CFP bracket prediction for the contest HERE
My ballot – still a little weird from preseason expectations, but that’s mostly factored out now. The bigger issue is that 2-3 weeks of data is too small a sample size for the computer to know what to do with. Teams that played P4 teams are very high (even if they lost), whereas teams that played FCS schools are very low (even if they blew them out). Teams that already had a bye are even lower (exacerbated by this season having an extra bye week). It should all be sorted out in a couple weeks.
I will say, by eye test I really disagree with some of these rankings (I mean, ou up to number 4???) but I find the pure data intriguing, especially for spots 40ish through 134 which a lot of people ignore. I’m considering a few tweaks (to diminish the effects of garbage time stat padding), but it would make the algorithm more complex. Without fully automating it, I need to keep it simple enough to tabulate semi-manually every week. Hoping I can use next offseason to tinker with some scripts.
Full ranking:
| Rank | Change | Team | Record | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +1 | Texas | 2-0 | 461 |
| 2 | -1 | Georgia | 2-0 | 438 |
| 3 | +2 | Ohio State | 2-0 | 375 |
| 4 | +3 | Oklahoma | 2-0 | 347 |
| 5 | +1 | Penn State | 2-0 | 339 |
| 6 | +5 | USC | 2-0 | 338 |
| 7 | -4 | Oregon | 2-0 | 323 |
| 8 | -4 | Florida State | 0-2 | 314 |
| 9 | +7 | Georgia Tech | 2-1 | 309 |
| 10 | +0 | SMU | 2-1 | 305 |
| 11 | -2 | Notre Dame | 1-1 | 302 |
| 12 | -4 | Miami (FL) | 2-0 | 300 |
| 13 | +9 | Alabama | 2-0 | 286 |
| 14 | +13 | Nebraska | 2-0 | 279 |
| 15 | +3 | Clemson | 1-1 | 277 |
| 16 | +22 | Tennessee | 2-0 | 271 |
| 17 | +6 | Ole Miss | 2-0 | 270 |
| 18 | +1 | Louisville | 2-0 | 267 |
| 19 | +9 | Maryland | 1-1 | 261 |
| T20 | +5 | Missouri | 2-0 | 258 |
| T20 | -8 | Texas A&M | 1-1 | 258 |
| 22 | -10 | LSU | 1-1 | 257 |
| 23 | +1 | Virginia Tech | 1-1 | 256 |
| 24 | -9 | Michigan | 1-1 | 253 |
| 25 | +21 | South Carolina | 2-0 | 252 |
| 26 | -6 | Oklahoma State | 2-0 | 251 |
| T27 | -7 | Iowa State | 2-0 | 250 |
| T27 | +9 | North Carolina | 2-0 | 250 |
| T27 | -11 | Iowa | 1-1 | 250 |
| 30 | +7 | Boise State | 1-1 | 244 |
| 31 | +1 | Utah | 2-0 | 242 |
| T32 | -18 | Wisconsin | 2-0 | 237 |
| T32 | +0 | Boston College | 2-0 | 237 |
| T32 | +11 | Syracuse | 2-0 | 237 |
| 35 | -10 | Kentucky | 1-1 | 236 |
| 36 | -6 | Kansas State | 2-0 | 232 |
| 37 | -6 | Kansas | 1-1 | 231 |
| T38 | +11 | Rutgers | 2-0 | 225 |
| T38 | +23 | Arizona State | 2-0 | 225 |
| 40 | -5 | Auburn | 1-1 | 221 |
| 41 | +14 | UCF | 2-0 | 218 |
| 42 | +8 | Northwestern | 1-1 | 217 |
| T43 | +8 | California | 2-0 | 216 |
| T43 | +17 | Nevada | 2-0 | 216 |
| T43 | +34 | Northern Illinois | 1-2 | 216 |
| T46 | +12 | Texas State | 2-0 | 213 |
| T46 | +24 | Pittsburgh | 2-0 | 213 |
| 48 | -5 | Liberty | 2-0 | 210 |
| 49 | -4 | UNLV | 2-0 | 209 |
| 50 | -12 | Arizona | 2-0 | 207 |
| 51 | -17 | West Virginia | 1-1 | 201 |
| T52 | -5 | Indiana | 2-0 | 200 |
| T52 | -23 | Miami (OH) | 0-1 | 200 |
| 54 | +4 | Houston | 0-2 | 198 |
| T55 | +8 | Memphis | 2-0 | 197 |
| T55 | +9 | Duke | 2-0 | 197 |
| T55 | +13 | Illinois | 2-0 | 197 |
| 58 | -6 | TCU | 2-0 | 196 |
| 59 | +5 | Washington | 2-0 | 195 |
| T60 | +13 | Louisiana | 2-0 | 194 |
| T60 | -13 | Minnesota | 1-1 | 194 |
| 62 | -22 | Florida | 1-1 | 193 |
| 63 | -22 | Fresno State | 1-1 | 192 |
| 64 | +0 | Old Dominion | 0-2 | 190 |
| T65 | +30 | Washington State | 2-0 | 187 |
| T65 | -11 | Colorado | 1-1 | 187 |
| 67 | +32 | Michigan State | 2-0 | 185 |
| 68 | +7 | Toledo | 2-0 | 184 |
| 69 | +15 | Oregon State | 2-0 | 181 |
| 70 | +1 | Bowling Green | 1-1 | 180 |
| T71 | -30 | Appalachian State | 1-1 | 178 |
| T71 | -18 | Rice | 1-1 | 178 |
| T73 | -16 | UTSA | 1-1 | 175 |
| T73 | -1 | FAU | 0-2 | 175 |
| 75 | +5 | Arkansas | 1-1 | 173 |
| T76 | +2 | Baylor | 1-1 | 172 |
| T76 | +2 | Sam Houston | 1-1 | 172 |
| T76 | +12 | Georgia Southern | 1-1 | 172 |
| 79 | +17 | BYU | 2-0 | 171 |
| 80 | +39 | FIU | 1-1 | 170 |
| 81 | +5 | Cincinnati | 1-1 | 169 |
| 82 | +22 | Ohio | 1-1 | 168 |
| T83 | +7 | Mississippi State | 1-1 | 167 |
| T83 | -1 | South Alabama | 0-2 | 167 |
| T85 | +11 | ECU | 2-0 | 164 |
| T85 | -18 | USF | 1-1 | 164 |
| T87 | -6 | Coastal Carolina | 2-0 | 163 |
| T87 | -31 | UCLA | 1-0 | 163 |
| T89 | -5 | Arkansas State | 2-0 | 162 |
| T89 | -28 | Hawaii | 1-1 | 162 |
| T89 | +14 | Wake Forest | 1-1 | 162 |
| T92 | -4 | Vanderbilt | 2-0 | 160 |
| T92 | +17 | Virginia | 2-0 | 160 |
| 94 | +16 | Army | 2-0 | 159 |
| 95 | -27 | Texas Tech | 1-1 | 158 |
| T96 | +22 | Navy | 2-0 | 156 |
| T96 | +9 | Tulane | 1-1 | 156 |
| T98 | +14 | Eastern Michigan | 1-1 | 153 |
| T98 | +0 | Charlotte | 0-2 | 153 |
| 100 | +14 | San Jose State | 2-0 | 150 |
| 101 | -7 | UNT | 2-0 | 149 |
| T102 | -3 | James Madison | 2-0 | 148 |
| T102 | -11 | Stanford | 1-1 | 148 |
| 104 | +2 | Marshall | 1-1 | 146 |
| 105 | +2 | Troy | 0-2 | 145 |
| 106 | -32 | NC State | 1-1 | 141 |
| 107 | +22 | UL Monroe | 2-0 | 140 |
| 108 | -15 | Georgia State | 1-1 | 136 |
| 109 | -18 | Western Michigan | 0-2 | 134 |
| 110 | -11 | Jacksonville State | 0-2 | 133 |
| 111 | +0 | Air Force | 1-1 | 132 |
| T112 | -36 | Purdue | 1-0 | 130 |
| T112 | +5 | New Mexico State | 1-1 | 130 |
| 114 | -27 | Wyoming | 0-2 | 128 |
| 115 | -32 | Utah State | 1-1 | 127 |
| 116 | +7 | UMass | 0-2 | 126 |
| 117 | +7 | Tulsa | 1-1 | 125 |
| 118 | -19 | Western Kentucky | 1-1 | 124 |
| 119 | -4 | UAB | 1-1 | 122 |
| 120 | -4 | Akron | 0-2 | 116 |
| 121 | -14 | Colorado State | 1-1 | 115 |
| 122 | -10 | New Mexico | 0-2 | 114 |
| 123 | -2 | Central Michigan | 1-1 | 109 |
| T124 | -2 | UConn | 1-1 | 106 |
| T124 | +1 | San Diego State | 1-1 | 106 |
| 126 | -1 | Southern Miss | 1-1 | 101 |
| 127 | -2 | Buffalo | 1-1 | 98 |
| 128 | -9 | Middle Tennessee | 1-1 | 97 |
| 129 | +1 | Kent State | 0-2 | 92 |
| 130 | +1 | UTEP | 0-2 | 90 |
| 131 | -3 | Ball State | 1-0 | 86 |
| 132 | +1 | Temple | 0-2 | 81 |
| 133 | +1 | Kennesaw State | 0-2 | 80 |
| 134 | -2 | Louisiana Tech | 1-0 | 73 |
Updated the banner and sidebar!
I see I’m catching a lot of flack here for my computer poll (and understandably so), to which I say: vote in the poll! The more participants, the more my funky algorithm gets drowned out. I will say, I did tweak it this year to further devalue preseason expectations, but I can’t let it just stand on 1.5 weeks of data. Preseason expectations get fully flushed out after week 4.
Also, because the transfer portal makes it so hard to get a read on rosters early in the season, I outsourced the returning production variable to Action Network’s metric. It worked pretty well last year, but I’m not sure they’re on the mark this year. If anyone has a better source (that is free or cheap), I’m willing to give it a try for next year.
USC won. Clemson lost. Clemson is no longer in the poll results.
The only thing that could make this week better is if Georgia had also lost, but… gotta pick the lesser evil 😆
So just checking, are we supposed to submit our ballots for week 3 in the link above? Because I did, but looking at the results it seems like it might still have week 2 ballots as well.
Yeah, my general workflow is honestly sloppy af with this thing. But I typically just leave the poll up as the same link and just clear the submissions every week. I do all the calcs on the sheets doc anyway (cut and paste the weeks out to their own sheets each week) so it doesn’t really impact the results. Unfortunately I’m only ok at remembering to do all of this lol. It should be all up to date now.
Edit: I’m also likely to split the results and vote posts up again, as I imagine the other 2 voters last week probably want their name in the pot for the gift card. And it may be unclear the I need some sort of fedi user verification.
My ballot this week:
- Georgia
- Texas
- Ole Miss
- Ohio State
- Tennessee
- Louisville
- Miami (FL)
- Alabama
- Missouri
- Oregon
- Oklahoma
- USC
- Penn State
- Utah
- Kansas State
- Michigan
- LSU
- Oklahoma State
- UCF
- Vanderbilt
- Boston College
- South Carolina
- Kentucky
- Nebraska
- Clemson
