- Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, a trio of USA TODAY/Suffolk University polls found.
- Harris leads Trump 49%-46% in Pennsylvania, a statewide poll of 500 likely Pennsylvania voters conducted Sept. 11 to Sept. 15 found.
- Harris also enjoys higher personal popularity among likely Pennsylvania voters, with 49% having a favorable opinion of the vice president, compared to 47% with an unfavorable opinion.
Register to vote: https://vote.gov/
Encouraging. That means your VOTE counts, don’t waste it.
Margin of error on this poll is 4.4%. Don’t even bother clicking this. Vote.
I was recently listening to NPR/public radio discuss the margin of error. There are 4 types, and only one of those are used when reporting poll numbers.
The recommendation was to double the reported number to get a better idea of the true margin of error.
Edit: Found it! It was from On the Media, WNYC. September 13th, 2024 episode around 27m:47s. Here’s the link: https://pca.st/episode/3f8ff092-92b9-4767-9725-6dbe3af715be?t=1667
Yeah I wish I could share a link to the article/podcast, but I’m having trouble finding it right now.
Edit: Found it! It was from On the Media, WNYC. September 13th, 2024 episode around 27m:47s. Here’s the link: https://pca.st/episode/3f8ff092-92b9-4767-9725-6dbe3af715be?t=1667
That is great news but this election is looking so close and she does not have the lead that she should. We need to get out and vote!
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
Obligatory: Doesn’t fucking matter, go vote.
A reminder: Electoral college isn’t looking so hot.
While it is far too close for comfort, Harris has at least a small lead in the polls in enough states to carry the election. This has been true for quite a while. And Trump’s lead is slipping in several more states.
We must not get complacent, but we also shouldn’t be discouraged.
The states she needs are all on a knife’s edge. She’s polling slightly better after the debate but things could easily revert over the next seven weeks. This election will be decided by turnout. I get frustrated with these articles proclaiming she’s ahead in a single poll with a result that’s inside the margin of error. Harris needs to beat both Trump and complacency.