If I was the dems, I wouldn’t have let a million-plus poor working class people die of preventable COVID deaths. Apparently the poll numbers are lower than what Hill-dawg had at this point. Looking forward to hearing how this is all Russia’s fault.

everyone not voting democrat told democrats exactly what they needed to do to get their votes and democrats hedged their bets on orange man being so horrifically bad that we would all be FORCED into voting democrat to prevent him and they wouldnt need to make any concessions to the left or actual “progressives”.

well we’ll see how that works out for them

one thing the democratic party elite underestimate is how bad it is for those of us at the bottom, economically or due to social/racial etc identity. it actually for a fact cant get that much worse for us. it can get a lot worse for the comfortable middle class though. when middle class white Californian women sadly get subjected to the same abortion laws that poor black women all over the south are subjected to then what’s gonna happen? or when all the comfortable middle class people are suddenly paycheck to paycheck? we all know right wing economic policy will extract all it can from them as it has to us

this is starting to sound like a manifesto so i’m done but yeah it was a bold strategy, dems. let’s see how it plays out

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5 points

even Iran had to try and help KKKamala out😭😭😭

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7 points
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Deleted by creator
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4 points

Honestly I think it would be neck and neck with any candidate good or bad. Americans have gone insane

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3 points

I feel like a candidate that made semi-believable promises to benefit normal people would clean up any of these elections but the dems haven’t tried that since 2008

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18 points

doesn’t tied polls mean the dems are set to lose? some screenshots below from 538

spoiler

2016 election:

2020 election (which biden won with a narrow victory):

2024 election:

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5 points
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Tough to say. Historically, the error around polls is inconsistent i.e. polls could bias towards Republicans in one cycle and then flip and favor the Dems the next. But when you have literally the same candidate for one party running in each of the last three cycles and the same inner circle of people running for the other, it’s very plausible that the polls are biased similarly in each cycle. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if we see similar results this time, but it’s impossible to know for sure.

Oh yeah, there is also basically a polling industrial complex now where polls that look good for the Dems blow up on Reddit and other social media. Creates an environment that incentivizes polling companies to fudge numbers. Impossible to know for sure if this is happening but I don’t discount the possibility

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25 points
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The only states where polling actually matters are:

  • Wisconsin
  • Pennsylvania
  • Michigan
  • Ohio
  • Georgia
  • Arizona
  • North Carolina
  • Nevada
  • Possibly whatever district Omaha, NE is in if it’s actually that close

Any analysis/polling done by the media that isn’t solely focused on those states are busywork/useless neoliberal job programs for their fail-offspring.

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14 points

What do you mean, the polls show that Texas is definitely in play for the Dems, for real this time!

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11 points
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I think I’m gonna run for democraric governor of Texas. It seems like the easiest way to soak up millions of dollars with no expectations of anything happening.

Actually I take that back the person running against McConnell for his senate seat in Kentucky who absorbed millions of brunch dollars probably takes the cake. Amy something I think?

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6 points
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Essentially a dead heat all over:

The only swing state where Harris is squeaking by above the probable margin of error is Michigan.

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