18 points

It sounds like Erdogan is saying this is conditional on the EU reopening talks about Turkiye joining. Is that even happening?

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21 points

No, that’s what he said earlier today. Seems like he was just posturing and seeking attention.

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6 points

Oh, I see! I misread the article. Good news!

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4 points
*

It sounds like it’s going through because Sweden and Turkey have worked together to address legitimate concerns about Turkish national security? But I don’t see any mention of the EU talks; the article neither dismissing them nor addressing them at all (unless I’m just dumb right now and have mis-read something). So I’m still wondering if those talks are “off the table”, or if someone could please correct me about my misunderstandings

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3 points

I saw this from today, mentioning paving the way for Turkey to join the EU, as well as the US selling their F-16’s to Turkey.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jul/10/nato-sweden-pm-to-meet-with-turkeys-erdogan-in-last-ditch-bid-to-seal-membership

I think the US congress would veto Biden’s approval (or already has), if I’m reading correctly? But I can’t find any follow-up as to what actually made the deal go through.

I also wonder if the EU is going to reopen talks about Turkey joining. But seems like Sweden has also done a lot of legwork already to jibe with Turkish security concerns, so maybe that was enough? I’m curious too

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3 points

EU will never seriously want turkey to be member. They will only pretend if necessary.

EU doesnt want another Orban and Polish right wing governments blocking every single decision

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5 points

Talks weren’t suspended because the EU hates Turkey (national politics and sentiment nonwithstanding Berlaymont just doesn’t care about those things) but because the accession procedure went nowhere, and in some areas backslided.

As such reopening is contingent on nothing but Turkey actually taking its prospect of joining seriously. I wonder if Erdogan understands that “Sweden reinvigorating Turkey’s application” pretty much means Sweden giving Turkey private lessons in how to be less of a shithole… in any case it doesn’t surprise me that Sweden agreed to such language.

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2 points

Initially exciting, and if it happens, this is HUGE.

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6 points

It is exciting to watch the hands of the dooms day clock inch closer to midnight.

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0 points

Huh? I’m not sure what your response is about.

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3 points

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Deleted by creator
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2 points

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59 points

I wonder what had deal had to be made for him to say this. Also grain of salt till ink is dry.

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20 points

I’ve seen speculation that Turkey will get F-16s in return.

Looking forward to seeing Orban cornered.

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7 points
*

They’ve had F-16s for years, producing most of them domestically (under license). Maybe some upgrades?

Turkey’s been developing their own “5th gen” fighter, and they do have a pretty decent domestic military industrial base, but they got barred from purchasing the F-35 in 2019 when they bought an S-400 system from Russia - I wonder if he wants those. It’d need some US congressional cooperation to make happen, though.

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-21 points

I don’t think they’re ever getting F-35s while they have an S-400.

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11 points

I really want to see the price NATO ended up paying …

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1 point

I’m surprised. Erdogan is not known for non-confronational decisions, especially if they benefit others. Did he suffer a sudden bout of dementia?

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9 points

Nah. He is also known for instant turns, when he thinks he has bargained enough or when it happens to suit the image he wants to present.

For example say he decided “Vilnius is the moment I stop bargaining, but only at last minute. Lets see what concessions I can get out of them until then” or so on.

It is exactly on brand for Erdogan to suddenly turn his position and go “what problem, there is no problem. What I said last week there was a problem… no no no, I Erdogan The First have solved problem quickly in only few days. Yes we made a deal, I negotiated amazing deal, deal solves the problem. There is No problem anumore. It’s solved.”

What happened to solve the problem? Nothing, Erdogan just stopped insisting there was a problem in first place and well some flowery language on top to make it look like it was deal to end the problem and not a climb down to end the problem.

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1 point

Yeah, this sums it up pretty nicely.

You do also have to remember that a lot of this was around the elections and stoking the flames of a boogeyman (the PKK), so now that they’re done and over with it was just a matter of time.

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