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OrnluWolfjarl
For context, Diogenes and Plato were the opposite of friends.
Or new Russian offensives are going to begin in areas around the locked down areas, and they want to hide their troop movements.
Which is exactly what happened last night in Sumy.
Somehow Trump has returned
I agree with that. And yes, both Russia and China are building up their arsenal. Especially after the US pulled out of the non-proliferation treaties.
I think what Russia and China are doing here (besides defending themselves) is to apply pressure on the US to return to the treaties.
I don’t think we should be correlating nuclear capability with conventional military power.
Yeah, the US military is on the decline. They have shit equipment, bad logistics, and not enough soldiers to carry out a global conflict.
But a nuclear exchange does not need any of these things, except equipment/technology, which is largely shrouded in secrecy, so we don’t know what exactly their state is. We know that a bunch of their systems are automatic, and I wouldn’t put it past them to be implementing AI for targeting.
They also have a bunch of politicians, officers and bureaucrats that seem to be trigger-happy.
At any rate, even if the US is unable to carry out an effective launch, even if 5-10% of their nukes successfully strike anything, we are talking about massive devastation.
The problem is that the US views any build-up in nuclear weapons or development of more advanced delivery methods as a threat that can trigger their first strike policy. Meaning, if China in your example arms hypersonic missiles, that the US can’t shoot down, with nuclear warheads, that will be considered justification to trigger a first strike before China finishes the process, because otherwise the US will be vulnerable to a first strike itself.
Similarly, if Russia or China develop technologies that can shoot down most of the US nuclear missiles, that will also trigger a US first strike, before those technologies are implemented. Otherwise, the US will no longer be able to enforce mutual assured destruction on Russia/China and will consider itself vulnerable to a first strike.
Equally worrying for the rest of us is that Russia is currently drifting into adapting a similar first-strike policy as the US (though fortunately without the insane target list).
That’s why the answer should be disarmament, not ramping up. Though that’s very unlikely considering how bellicose the US is behaving.
In my view, the only way to safely destroy the empire is by playing the long game, which is exactly what Russia and China are doing. Slowly and silently dismantle their economic control of the globe, cause fissures in NATO, wait for the inevitable US economic collapse due to corruption and massive military spending, make the US industries rely on Russian and Chinese suppliers, re-educate Americans politically through their own media, and wait for the eventual political and civil upheaval that will hopefully replace the current establishment with a saner one.
Basically, do to the US what the US did to the USSR.