The US has urged Ukraine to halt attacks on Russia’s energy infrastructure, warning that the drone strikes risk driving up global oil prices and provoking retaliation, according to three people familiar with the discussions. […]
One person said that the White House had grown increasingly frustrated by brazen Ukrainian drone attacks that have struck oil refineries, terminals, depots and storage facilities across western Russia, hurting its oil production capacity.
Russia remains one of the world’s most important energy exporters despite western sanctions on its oil and gas sector. Oil prices have risen about 15 per cent this year, to $85 a barrel, pushing up fuel costs just as US President Joe Biden begins his campaign for re-election.
Un-paywalled link: https://archive.ph/wv1Y3
The world economy is… about to burst into flames, and be reborn from it’s ashes…? And that’s going to ensure Biden’s electoral victory…?
Setting aside mythical firebirds, I’m not talking about the press, I’m talking about the voters, their responses to pollsters, and how none of that data says “Trump definitely won’t win re-election”.
A best case scenario, that can actually be supported by current available data, is that it’s a coin flip.
That would be good news, if we had a popular vote.
Since we don’t, the polls that matter are those in battleground states and demographic polls to gauge base party/coalition support.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/05/us/politics/biden-trump-2024-poll.html
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/biden-vs-trump-polls-battleground-problem.html
If you really want to get depressed, do your own digging into the polling trends for traditional Democratic coalition members by demographic subgroups.
