TLDR: There was a recent shakeup of the Russian top brass and an economist was put in a top job. He thinks the economist has told Putin that this can not be sustained given Russia’s capability and Western promised support. Putin might actually be listening and why he wants to settle on current control.
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I saw Anders Puck Nielsens YouTube video last night about the same topic. Anders is imho always spot on, and I think it’s worth a watch: https://youtu.be/OZ-R1WVGwQg?si=OvzuDU8Q-z1cpE55
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