TLDR: There was a recent shakeup of the Russian top brass and an economist was put in a top job. He thinks the economist has told Putin that this can not be sustained given Russia’s capability and Western promised support. Putin might actually be listening and why he wants to settle on current control.

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apparently forecasting is his whole thing

“The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable.” — Ezra Solomon, professor of finance, Stanford University

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