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11 points
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Whitmer. Shapiro. Newsom, even.

Before anyone tries to claim polls show they wouldn’t do better than Biden against Trump let me remind people that this is without them having the endorsement of the dnc or the inevitable viral media attention they’d receive from endorsements from Obama or Biden himself. They’d surge overnight.

You know who isn’t surging? Biden. He’s been steadily declining in every single data-point, and the debate didn’t help.

So you know what 70% of voters have a problem with? How old the two current candidates are.

Give them what they want. Give Americans new exciting shit to vote for. This is the country that watches the Kardashians and American Idol for christ sake.

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14 points

Maybe. On the other hand, changing out your candidate after one debate doesn’t inspire much confidence. And you lose the advantage a sitting president usually has in elections.

A new candidate might indeed do better, but the DNC is risk averse as hell. I don’t see them having the balls to make a move like this.

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5 points

If it was about a poor debate performance akin to Obama vs Romney debate 1 I’d be inclined to agree.

The problem is this wasn’t really about the debate. It was about revealing to the country Biden’s clear senility problems, which at 81, won’t get better but certainly get worse.

And second to that: If Biden was 10 points ahead in the polls I’d also say okay maybe we just ride this out.

But he’s not. In fact relative to 2020 he’s been 10 pts behind pre-Debate. Losing in every battleground state as well.

To me I see the car crash happening up ahead and want to jump while we still have time.

Sadly I agree with your final comment. Today at Camp David was the day Biden could back out if his closest advisors and family pulled him aside. But they’re encouraging him to keep going.

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3 points

You know what inspires even less confidence? Biden.

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4 points

The track record of the Biden administration is solid. Why should that change?

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