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5 points

Should doesn’t matter. What is matters.

This election is going to be purely vibes-based, nobody is undecided. Whichever candidate can get the highest turnout wins.

Right now, sad to say, Trump is winning that vibes battle.

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-3 points

Right now, sad to say, Trump is winning that vibes battle.

I don’t see any evidence for this. Of course, the media has a shiny new story to obsess about but that’s not the same thing.

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3 points

Biden’s polling has been tanking, aligning with the popular protesting against the Palestinian Genocide and the recent poor debate performance, with major calls for him to step down even from within the DNC.

Trump’s polling has been rising, his voters are unified, and he has managed to pull an amazing PR victory out of his assassination attempt.

Trump doesn’t look better now to Biden voters. Trump looks better to Trump voters than Biden looks to Biden voters, which is what will matter more than appealing to centrists this election.

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-2 points

Ah, polling.

I guess you have more faith in the accuracy of that than I do.

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