Public sentiment on the importance of safe, lifesaving childhood vaccines has significantly declined in the US since the pandemic—which appears to be solely due to a nosedive in support from people who are Republican or those who lean Republican, according to new polling data from Gallup.
In 2019, 52 percent of Republican-aligned Americans said it was “extremely important” for parents to get their children vaccinated. Now, that figure is 26 percent, falling by half in just five years. In comparison, 63 percent of Democrats and Democratic leaners said it was “extremely important” this year, down slightly from 67 percent in 2019.
Vaccines are dangerous. The probability of vaccines progressing from phase 2 to licensure within 10 years was 10.0%
The probability of vaccines passing phase 1 is between 63.3% and 82.5%
Licenced vaccines are safe.
Vaccines are dangerous. The probability of vaccines progressing from phase 2 to licensure within 10 years was 10.0%.
Your cited evidence does not support your claim of danger. Safety is demonstrated in phase 0. After determining that the vaccine isn’t particularly dangerous, phase 1 is for determining dosage and side effects, and phase 2 is for determining efficacy.
Safety is demonstrated in the first few months, but the FDA doesn’t (normally) approve something just because it is safe. It also has to be effective. During the pandemic any degree of effectiveness would save lives, so emergency approval was justified.
The 90% of vaccines that failed to gain approval were not dangerous. They failed because they were ineffective.
Ok, X% of vaccines that are developed are abandoned for safety reasons.
My point is that vaccines are not automatically safe, they are rigorously tested before they are licenced.
I think what you’re saying is reasonable, but the way you’re saying it is uncomfortably close to how antivaxxers present their arguments.
I would say that if it doesn’t pass phase 0 (safety trials), it can’t even be considered a vaccine.
During the pandemic any degree of effectiveness would save lives, so emergency approval was justified.
What? Pretty sure the requirement of effectiveness was at least 70%, and the approved vaccines had a >90% effectiveness. Obviously as the virus mutated the effectiveness nosedived, but they were very effective against the original strain. (edit: Effectiveness versus getting infected at all, not against serious illness and death, which remains good)
