I always appreciate stats, so point taken. That said, Utah isn’t a major swing state where we expect these efforts to take place.

Republicans have been trying to minimize the blue shift in swing states by rejecting as many mail-in ballots as possible for a variety of reasons.

In the 2020 presidential contest, Pennsylvania election officials rejected more than 34,000 mail ballots. In a tight 2024 election in the most coveted swing state, even a fraction of that many rejections could spell the difference between victory and defeat — not just in the presidential race, but also in any number of others.

What’s true in Pennsylvania is true, to varying degrees, in other battleground states. Michigan rejected more than 20,000 mail ballots in 2020 and even more in 2022; Arizona turned down 7,700; Nevada 5,600; and Wisconsin about 3,000.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/08/us/election-mail-in-ballot-rejection.html

And they want to reject provisional ballots…

https://www.jurist.org/news/2024/11/us-supreme-court-allows-pennsylvania-to-count-provisional-votes-for-defective-mail-in-ballots/

And military ballots …

https://apnews.com/article/overseas-voters-military-ballots-election-2024-republicans-a275299f6828ec0f54133ea5614ca0df

If the advantage shifts because of women voting in private, I believe we will see Republicans take effort to make in-person voting more difficult.