Some mix of wrong and right, the exact proportions of which I’ll leave as an exercise to the reader.
You aren’t the primary customer for RHEL, or user here they’re trying to get money from. Businesses run this primarily on servers and have used CentOS historically (now Rocky/Alma) to help expand beyond the RHEL they pay for, if they pay for it. They think businesses will pay up for RHEL now, rather than just move to Amazon Linux or another distro entirely like Debian.
Not sure how many desktop customers RHEL has to he honest. Don’t know of any businesses of scale that they would buy RHEL that use Linux on the desktop