Idk, I feel like all the reddit users who are going to transition (of which I am one) have already done so
The majority, yeah. Users didn’t go to third party apps out of spite toward reddit; I doubt too many will have hung around this long in the spirit of some symbolic D-day to stick it to spez.
I feel like I’m in the minority, but I’d be happy going back to reddit if
- spez started be honest and transparent about his interactions with third party app devs
- reddit provides incredible moderation APIs immediately
- reddit stops (allegedly) “undeleting” posts
If that all happens, I’d stop being upset with reddit and instead be understanding of their situation… untill spez did something else stupid and then I’d be upset again
That’s kind of the problem though, isn’t it? They’ve shown that they’re willing to do whatever they need to make reddit look good to shareholders, the community be damned. That’s never going to change regardless of whether Spez or another parasite is the CEO.
I am principally opposed to what is going on with Reddit. But to be honest, I am much more practically opposed to using it without a third party app. Hence I have only just gotten around to join Lemmy now. If I wasn’t on vacation and had a bunch of time right now, I probably wouldn’t have joined until after the apps stopped working.
I expect that the practical reality of not being able to use your preferred Reddit app (which is still hours away) is going to be a big motivator compared to everything else leading up to this.
I fully migrated but the vast majority of users won’t. In fact, a significant portion of users that try Lemmy will likely go back to Reddit.
This is what happened with the Twitter -> Mastodon migration: https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2023/06/op-ed-why-the-great-twittermigration-didnt-quite-pan-out/
As long as a few of the niche communities that I care about can hit a critical mass on a lemmy instance somewhere, then I’m happy. Like, photography or endurance sports. I haven’t seen much of those yet, but hopefully we get there soon! Even just a thousand actually-active members is enough!
Unfortunately I’ll probably still use Reddit for their historical data for a while, but not logged in or posting anymore on principal.
We’ll see!