I’m sure Xi is beyond having his feelings hurt by Biden, but just look at Bilken’s reaction lmao.

Inviting a head of state to your country to publicly insult them is unacceptable anywhere, so this is only going to further tarnish the shitty reputation of American diplomacy.

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I think that means that America failed to get any concessions from China.

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The one thing they seemed to get was resumption of direct military to military hotlines. Not sure how useful that’s gonna be if they piss the Chinese side off though. Not hard to order the generals to pick up the phone, listen to the yank, then say “okay” and hang up.

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56 points
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It’s definitely useful for when the americans are doing their stupidly fucking dangerous freedom of navigation missions through chinese territory. During these missions the US ships have to turn off various monitoring equipment among other things. It’s so fucking easy for one or the other side to misinterpret one another if they ever do something they’re not expected to do in those situations, without communication they will default to assuming the worst and that’s where it gets hairy, everyone starts shooting, and then everyone else in the region starts shooting because everyone is shooting. Launch after launch will happen because there’s no de-escalation channel or way to just say “shit that was a mistake we’re sorry” when something actually goes wrong.

Imagine when a ship gets spooked, does something unexpected, then some scrambled jets get shot down, then even more shit happens, and every single asset in the region just acts independently based on the information they have at hand (the ship/jets nearest to me just got blown up, we should release our payload into the target). It’s a huge cascade.

Communication really matters to avoid this.

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Conversely, if you know China isn’t taking your calls, you have no choice but to avoid large provocations. I think refusing the back channels and forcing US foreign policy to be all out in the open was a good tactic.

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32 points

US FONOPS are actually insane. They broke the decades-old status quo that established the Taiwan Strait as Chinese territorial waters under the CPC-KMT consensus.

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I heard they did get the Chinese to stop supplying the chemicals used to make fentanyl to Mexico. (as I understand it previously Chinese companies were selling chemicals that have legitimate and legal industrial uses in larger quantities than the legal market can support, similar to how American gun manufacturors make 40% more guns than the legal gun market can support)

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