10 points

Who is this guy? I went to his Telegram and he claims to be a volunteer journalist reporting from the front lines?

He’s reporting an awful lot of troop movements that the others aren’t. DeepState UA shows no update in this area.

So, is this guy just way better connected than ISW and DeepState? Is he compromising opsec? Or, is this incorrect?

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6 points

Also, comments on his telegram as suspect af.

They claim his comments have been restricted. And that “he’s the only one telling the truth”.

I’m calling shenanigans here.

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4 points
*

Edit: I might be wrong on coords. OP responded below.

The coordinates for this village are 42.2811, 35.5240. No official update there in weeks. I went all the way to 06/20, no change.

Here’s the report from DeepState as of this morning:

at the front as of the end of the day on July 17, 2023

▶️ Belomoskov, Siver and Belgorod shades — without changes .

▶️ The matchmaker’s touch - the Katsapas have success south of Masyutivka and continue the pressure in the direction of Kupyansk. The enemy continues its assault on Novoselivske. As a result of heavy fighting to the west of Karmazynivka, the enemy had a landing-bridge, in addition, the situation in this area needs additional clarification. It is traditionally difficult in the Serebryan Forest, near Torsky, the enemy is concentrating reserves for further assaults.

▶️ Bakhmut shade - fighting continues on the outskirts of Klishchiivka and near Orihovo-Vasylivka. The Defense Forces have partial success. South of Bakhmut, our artillery continues to make progress.

▶️ The Avdiiv shade is unchanged. Katsaps actively tried to advance a few days ago, the situation is being clarified.

▶️ Berdyansk direction — the LBZ near Priyutny and Malynyvka has been clarified.

▶️ Zaporizhzhya shade — the LBZ in Kamiansk has been clarified.

▶️ Taurian shade - no changes.

🗂 Analytical note. Indeed, a very difficult situation is observed in the Svativ region. Since the beginning of the year, Katsap has increased the number of personnel to more than 110,000 ril. In recent months, we have been surprised by this relative simplicity of human resources, which were obviously saved for the summer campaign. Near Masyutivka, the pods have a lot of artillery and an unlimited number of prisoners of war, who wear out our defenders before the attack of the enemy special forces. The situation near the village is extremely unpleasant, because it is starting to resemble Serebryansk Forestry. We hope that all the mistakes made there in May will be taken into account and appropriate decisions will be made to settle the situation, because the price is only one - human lives.

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3 points

I cannot vouch for the source’s credibility, however

The coordinates for this village are 42.2811, 35.5240. No official update there in weeks. I went all the way to 06/20, no change.

That is not the coordinates for the village. As in the OP, it is at 47.5308, 35.3948 and DeepStateMAP shows changes (in the grey zone) on the 2023-07-15 15:36 and 2023-07-17 23:05. DeepStateMAP is known to only update based on visually confirmed or UA official statements.

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3 points
*

Also what’s the legend?

Red Russia

White contested

Yellow Ukraine Reclaimed territory

Uncolored = Ukraine Territory that hasn’t changed hands since the start of the war?

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2 points

Seems they’re compiling their own map.

I don’t think they are keeping historical data.

  • Dark red - Recent Russian Captured Territory
  • Red - Russian Control
  • White - Grey Zone
  • Yellow - Recent Ukraine Reclaimed Territory
  • Uncoloured - Ukraine Controlled (Not recently changed)
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2 points

I cannot vouch for the source’s credibility, however

DeepState UA shows no update in this area.

The villiage is at 47.5308, 35.3948 (linked in OP) and DeepStateMAP shows changes (in the grey zone) on the 2023-07-15 15:36 and 2023-07-17 23:05.

So, is this guy just way better connected than ISW and DeepState?

DeepStateMAP is known to only update based on visually confirmed or UA official statements.

Is he compromising opsec?

Possibly.

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1 point

Hm. Interesting. Are those the coordinates from Telegram OP’s Google map?

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