Polls say Trump would struggle against Biden where Nikki would have a much easier time, and frankly in Haley v Biden my money is on Haley. Putting Trump in prison would be good for democracy, but I am also seeing a trap card.

51 points

Nikki Haley agreed with the ruling that embryos are people, that should be enough to kill any chance she had with dems or moderates.

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29 points
*

She did, but don’t forget moderates ability to completely forget about human rights when the woke left will take away their gas stoves and hamburgers.

But let’s be honest, any explanation is just shooting in the dark at this moment. Just look at the polls. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/

Haley leads Biden by 16-18 points when Trump leads by 2-4 in some polls. Looking at some of the others Biden leads by small margins, but most all of them Haley fares better than Trump.

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9 points

Fivethirtyeight is still around? I’m surprised they didn’t just absorb it or abandon it after firing Nate & all the good writers.

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6 points

Bought by abc. “Site” is still there, but redirects and so far doesn’t have the same quality of content. BUT to be fair “poll tracking” just might start until primary close.

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6 points

Wait, Nate Silver isn’t part of it anymore? Well that ruined any reason for me to pay attention to it.

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20 points

I agree. She’s gambling on Trump becoming disqualified so she can try and range her place. Just remember that she’s not a moderate by any factual means, including her own stated alignment. She’s only “moderate” cats Trump moved the bar so far into insanity land that now not being overtly fascist is enough on the right to qualify as “moderate.”

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20 points

Trump won’t go to prison before the election. It would be seen, wrongly, as manipulating the election. There’s enough idiots that would think this for it to be avoided. Just like how they courts are treating Trump with kids gloves.

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2 points

It’s manipulating the rule of law to point to the election… Not that the GOP care about that kind of thing - the Dems barely do.

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16 points

Trump’s legal troubles are exactly why a failed candidate will say they’re “suspending” their campaign. Every leading candidate is a single bad day from falling out of the lead (like, plane crash or sudden jail term) and Haley and DeSantis are praying nightly that something finally sticks to Teflon Trump.

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13 points

Haley will be out after Tuesday. She can’t survive losing her own home state by 20+ points.

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