I think it’s unlikely he will be able to secure power.

The only hopeful improvement is that his reign would be more unstable and maybe the oligarchs don’t support him. Like always, that means that innocent Russian civilians will take the brunt of the actual consequences.

It doesn’t necessary matter if the war criminal Prigozhin gets stomped, even if it happens quickly.

How long do we think Russia needs to stay distracted before Ukraine finds a chink in their armor?

This doesn’t sound like a civil war. This sounds like a shake up at most.

It’s a special internal discussion.

That’s what I was thinking. Push out all the Russian soldiers (or convince them to switch sides, which seems remarkably easy at this point) while Putin is otherwise occupied. That would end the war, and with so much else on his plate, Putin might think twice about restarting it.

I have a feeling he made it up as some sort of power grab, but it’s hard to tell whats the truth out there. The fog of war is all over this chaotic situation. But if this chaos helps Ukraine take back territory, or even just breathe for a moment, that would be great.