I’ve heard a lot of people say Trump will ‘pull out’ of Ukraine, which i doubt. Trump sent military aid to Ukraine during his presidency. I’m assuming there will be somewhat of a decrease in aid, but not a ‘pulling out’ as many right wing commentators say.
I doubt there’s gonna be a qualitative difference in his foreign policy to be honest. Maybe just a bit more extreme when it comes to China, Palestine, Iran, etc.
No
I think that’s an interesting question, I suspect whatever happens will be a curve-ball.
US foreign policy is bipartisan.
Maybe there will be some difference. Last administration he seemed to focus on representing a slightly different section of US capitalists then Obama/Biden (however with large overlap). Different parts of capital have different and partly conflicting interests, which might result in slightly different foreign policy.
Basically it’s less about which person is in office and more about what this means for how power is distributed among capitalist factions. For example capitalists with a lot of profit depending on fixed capital inside the US might gain power, as well as the industrial military complex with profit coming from accumulation by dispossession, while highly mobile international capital might lose a bit. This is just an example. In this case it might lead to slightly less hot wars, while the war machine continues to grow. There are more factions like landlords and finance and resource extraction.
It’s hard to tell now though, because these factions are probably now still fighting about power behind the scenes with very little transparency.
Also it depends not just on the interests of these factions, but also on what their respective strategies will be in dealing with the decline of the empire and inevitable crisis.
