There are a lot of reasons to think that it might go the other way this year. In 2016, we had a combination of overconfidence, lack of real enthusiasm, and a general sense of not giving a shit that allowed democrats, who outnumbered Trump supporters, to throw the election. In 2020, polling was completely fucked up by Covid. Democrats had higher margins in pre-election polling but less on Election Day mostly due to the fact that democrats were more cautious about the pandemic, and those who forgot to sign up for mail in voting decided to stay home for safety, and the on the ground get out the vote measures didn’t happen at all on the blue side. This year neither are true, and we saw in polls in 2022 underestimate democrats. Pollsters may have overcorrected for the quiet Trump voters while not accounting for the turnout caused by the scrapping of roe. If you want an example of over correction to account for republicans in polls, look at the 2022 Arizona gubernatorial election. I feel like polls are underestimating democrats this time around.

Detroit has gotten a lot better in the past few years, it’s been a very impressive turnaround for the city, while Trump still only knows it as the city with those evil black people

Him endorsing Harris could convince a couple Pennsylvania voters near the New Jersey border, and in an election as close as this that would be major

The Lebanese government isn’t an enemy to Israel so I don’t see any propaganda reason for them to do it, the writer probably just wrote it that way without an ulterior motive imo

They don’t like the fact that Wikipedia doesn’t confirm all of their existing biases, so it’s ok to blow it up

That’s the opposite. They are saying government run to distinguish them from Hezbollah

I don’t understand why translation is bad, could you please explain

I think the electoral college has become pretty unpopular with pretty much everyone except committed republicans in recent years

Maybe the real fascists were the friends we made along the way

It’s not like they want to pander to 14 year olds, who historically have pretty low turnout