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6 points

Certainly, but none of those technologies completely replaced things. The existing way of doing things became hobbies and remain the preference over the technology which disrupted the field.

Not to mention, technologies will sometimes flop, only to resurface later in a completely different package. The PDA was maybe popular for a year? But now we all have smartphones which effectively capture that concept. The Wii U failed, but the Switch has been wildly popular.

It’s probably premature to say that AI will completely fail, but also that AI will completely replace everything. I just used a Polaroid camera this past weekend at a wedding, and it was enjoyable in a way digital cameras or phones wouldn’t have been. I still write things out at work, particularly if I’m trying to wrap my head around some math or a difficult concept. Typing it out doesn’t work as well.

I think it is safe to say that there are some things AI will never be able to replace, just like there are some things digital cameras couldn’t replace, nor our phones.

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1 point

My wife still likes film photography. We’re even thinking of setting up a dark room in the basement. Turns out it’s a huge PITA to find someone who knows how to repair a Mamya and, despite her best intentions, every photo she’s taken in the last decade has been digital.

As near as I can tell film photography and hand-written letters are things people do for fun. Both digital photography and modern printers can produce outputs that are are nearly indistinguishable from film or handwriting. I’ve been at weddings with Polaroids too. It’s fun but the pictures aren’t very good. The color is off, the resolution is low and they fade faster. The only advantage is that everyone gets to do a fun retro-thing. There’s nothing wrong with that, I have a lot of hobbies that involve doing things the old fashion way just because it’s more fun.

When we actually need the results to work well we generally go for the most modern technologies we can afford. When the main purpose is the enjoyment that accrues to the creator, there’s still a lot of room for older technologies.

That’s what I expect AI will eventually get to. Right now AI art is largely a novelty. Soon it will be the standard and creative artists will find interesting things to do with it that none of us are considering now.

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