173 points

So if Iran goes full monty and China invades Taiwan while Russia is grinding down its population on the Ukrainian front, we’d have WW3 on our hands I reckon.

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118 points

That war is already underway, we just won’t be calling it that until after…

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49 points

We won’t be calling it that until the US has a draft.

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49 points

Drafts have not won recent wars. Wars are not PVP.

The US has made an effort to maintain a highly trained and extremely specialized fighting force. It can take over a year of training in certain specialities before you even get to the last school house.

There’s a focus on making advanced weapon systems easy to use through human factors analysis and that’s slowly transitioning into killbots that do everything but pull the trigger and need a human in the loop to authorize the kill.

During WWII there was a massive increase in manufacturing which was beyond the enemies reach. If you got drafted to do anything it’d likely be work in a plant making drones or something logistical such as transporting drones.

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42 points

Not really a world war until 10 countries are actively involved with 2 of them USA and China.

Right now usa is passive and china is not involved.

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25 points

We’re in the lend and lease phase right now

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16 points

I could see it being called a proxy world war. There’s enough concentration of where support is coming from.

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3 points

I highly doubt that. They were calling World War 2 just that even in 1939.

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3 points
*

Right, but not in the mid 1930’s when Japan was fighting China, Germany was taking advantage of Chamberlains appeasement strategy, and Italy was expanding their influence in the Horn of Africa. Only when Germany invaded Poland and everybody started declaring war on everybody did some people start calling it world war 2.

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7 points

Don’t forget the middle east

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61 points

Was that not covered by “if Iran goes full monty?”

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38 points

I am sorry, I obviously can’t read properly

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6 points

Idk, there is more middle east than just Iran

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12 points

Where in the world is Iran located?

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22 points

I am sorry, I can’t read

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3 points

Great what a time to be alive! /s

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1 point

nah because no country is allowed to be a part of the russo-ukranian war as ukraine is neutral.

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-34 points

And all of that because the US can’t tell Israel to stop bombing civilians in Gaza.

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40 points

Not because that wtf

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-27 points

Oh yes, exactly because of that! It may seem farfetched to come to that conclusion, but only if you look at things as isolated happenings instead of in a more global geopolitical scope.

Turkey, Iran and Egypt are eager to enter the stage. Their only repellent is the US’ firm stance with Israel. But how long can this Mexican standoff be in place?

Israel has already cut Gaza in half and now they are going to increase the killings in the northern half in which still 1.1 million citizens live. The number of casualties will increase dramatically and the videos and images will ignite the region. One of the eager neighbors mentioned above might enter the stage, they might even jointly enter all at the same time.

What happens if Turkey, a NATO member, enters Israel? What are the implications of this?

China is smelling US weakness and can’t wait for something like that to happen. They will immediately proceed with their plan of annexing Taiwan.

If that happens, Russia will mobilize with full force and there you have it - WW3.

All because America couldn’t say to Israel to lift it’s finger from the trigger.

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15 points

Way too broad a brush, mate.

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-1 points

broken fucking record

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92 points

Well not so quiet anymore

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0 points

If anything, it’s the exact opposite of covert. Taiwan has been unwisely hollowing out their military for the past two decades. These recent expenditures—not matched by corresponding manpower increases—are meant to broadcast that everything’s fine, pay no attention to the problems underneath.

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14 points

China has also reduced its military manpower. Both are going for quality over quantity.

Looking at Russia bungling their little adventure in Ukraine, maybe quantity alone doesn’t seem like the best approach.

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68 points

Is there any active or potential war the US isn’t paying for?

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62 points

The US is paying because it needs Taiwan. If Taiwan didn’t have value for the US, it would have been overrun by China a decade ago

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33 points

israel and ukraine as well. it’s no coincidence that right next to a powerful country (or, in israel’s case, a bloc of countries) that the US is unfriendly with there is a client state whose entire existence depends on Western funding.

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5 points

It’s not so much that the US needs Taiwan, Ukraine or Israel, it’s that they oppose China, Russian and the middle east.

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24 points

The bulk of the US economy is based on taking money from working people and then consolidating it to billionaires that run defense corporations. So “paying for” it’s basically just an engine for making rich Americans more rich.

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6 points

Are there any it hasn’t?

kind of /s

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5 points

If China invades Taiwan our entire economy will come to a screeching halt. Hence why America is interested.

If China wanted to invade, idk, Thailand, we’d just kind of shrug and say “Hey, don’t do that.”

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0 points
*

Yes. Syria, Yemen, Libya.

Yemen: US funded, Saudi Led Anti-Houthi Rebels in Yemen. The Saudis fighting with Hezbollah. Wait I think we did sell weapons to the Saudis lol. The conflicts in and around Turkey. Congress has [blocked arms deals to Turkey](blocked arms deals to Turkey), but Biden has tried to make it happen. We are arming Ukraine, but not arming other countries in the former Soviet bloc that would probably enjoy more independence from Russia right now. We’re not arming Africa which aims to stop piracy, stop foreign boats from dragnetting their shores, and has some internal conflicts with governments and insurgents. We aren’t arming Mexico to stop the drug cartels. (Although US citizens frequently arm the cartels).

And don’t worry, Europe has arms to replace now thanks to the Ukraine-Russia war. US Plans to Backfill the Donated Arms.

Yeah you can pretty much look up “US sends weapons to X” and get a positive result that we have indeed. We are also actively stopping Syria, Iran, Turkey, and Russia from arming more rebels whenever we can. US siezes Iranian Ammo, Sends to Ukraine.

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2 points

Well, all those General Dynamics and Raytheon shareholders deserve maximum return on their investments, according to St. Friedman.

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-2 points
Removed by mod
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3 points

Removed, rule 4, racially loaded language.

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49 points
*

Well Taiwan can either go with the US or China. They’ve been wanting to stay independent from China for a while now so I don’t think it’s much of a surprise.

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39 points

Almost all countries other than USA, Russia, and China have to pick a side.

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31 points

I mean Russia is pretty close to needing to pick a side.

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-26 points
*

Well, their economy isn’t collapsing any time soon. And they managed to destroy modern military systems supplied by NATO.

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I mean yeah, but the EU is also an available Option

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13 points

When it comes to military, EU is basically NATO which is led by USA.

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3 points

So US then?

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1 point
*

It is, but I wouldn’t count on our potential to wage an effective modern war in functional cooperation with the many countries in the EU. Especially when it is a war taking place out of Europe and not a defensive action.

A militaristic endeavor would surely be held up and manipulated by opposing countries within the alliance, just like it is now with economic decisions.

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2 points

I’m highly biased but that seems like an easy choice, geography notwithstanding.

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1 point

Taiwan’s policy under the KMT was one of economic integration - under the KMT government, both sides were happy under the status quo. Under the DPP, it’s been one of military provocation.

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1 point

Long before the DPP took power, China started an enorlous increase of its military. As well as its territorial ambitions. I don’t think it’s China that’s afraid of being invaded by the Taiwanese

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1 point

Have you looked at a map? China is literally encircled by US military bases. Are you surprised that they’re participating in that arms race?

China and Taiwan share the exact same territorial ambitions. That’s a matter of shared policy. Those territorial ambitions also consist of… Literally, uninhabited wastelands and uninhabited rocks.

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40 points

Good. Even if nobody likes 'murica, their weapons work well enough to deter China from doing something stupid.

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-17 points
*

Imagine if the roles were reversed, and it was China arming i.e. Panama. How would you feel then?

(Because the USA has done a lot of "something stupid"s as well).

Edit: Folks, you can analyze the bigger picture without being a tankie. It’s unfortunate that so many ex-Redditors would rather block and report any display of critical thought

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27 points

Imagine if the roles were reversed, and it was China arming i.e. Panama. How would you feel then

False equivalence, Panama’s risk of being suddenly invaded in the current political climate is nearly zero. Taiwan (is #1), on the other hand, has to be ever vigilant. Also, Panama doesn’t house the ‘rightful’ government of the US.

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-4 points

How about Cuba, then?

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-14 points
*

Obviously they’re different. But failing to empathize when given the analogy shows either the inability or unwillingness to understand China’s position.

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22 points
*
Deleted by creator
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10 points
*

.ml means ‘Marxist-Leninist’. From their about page:

“In particular, I would like to see someone (or a group of people) create a mainstream, or liberal instance. That should help to avoid further drama, and avoid attempts to turn lemmy.ml into something that it is not.”

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11 points

If you’re comparing China/Taiwan circumstances to USA/Panama I’m sorry but I cannot call that a critical thought. The only similarity is proximity.

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11 points

As an American who knows how evil our government is, I would be like “good for panama but also China is probably not doing this out of justice and freedom”

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11 points

Neither is the US. We’re doing it because Taiwan is a strategic ally

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10 points
*

That’s fine! We should not invade Panama. I don’t think the US is currently planning on it, but after the last 20 years I’m pretty sure most citizens would be fucking glad for any excuse for our military to think twice before invading a foreign country.

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5 points

The one other one is a democracy, despite being a flawed one. The other, an unabashedly totalitarian state. And before any CCP apologists comments and nevermind what the domestic Chinese think, ask South Korea, Japan and South East Asia what they think of the Chinese Communist Party claiming the entirety of South China Sea and sending armed merchant vessels and the Chinese navy bullying other Asian fishermen in the region. Not to excuse American imperialism, but it’s clear which is the better option for many.

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4 points

ask South Korea

너 지금 한국에 사는 사람한테 답하는 거야…

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3 points
*

Why don’t we ask South America, the Middle East, and Vietnam what they think about the US?

but it’s clear which is the better option for many

… American tax dollars are at this moment funding the genocide of Palestinians.

EDIT to add: I should clarify I’m no CCP apologist, nor do I uplift China as an example of what we should strive for. But I also really get tired of seeing America put on a pedestal. America was built on genocide, slavery, and exploitation, I don’t see how it should ever be an example of how to do things better, BECAUSE that line of reasoning (“at least we’re better than them”) has been used to justify many of the horrors of our history.

By using that bit of propaganda, you’re contributing to things like Americans looking the other way/enabling - for the past 75 years - genocide. It’s the same “they’re savages” shit that was used to justify literally the most savage acts against Native Americans.

Our democracy also isn’t actual democracy. By definition, a democracy must represent the will of the people. Ours does not. It is already a failed democracy, and has been for my entire life. America also produces more propaganda than any other country. Do we have more personal freedoms in many areas than people in China? Absolutely. Are there many areas throughout society where I think America has pushed the world forward and made it a better place? Absolutely.

But I’m getting really sick of seeing America compared to China just to say “we’re better”.

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1 point

Taiwan is a full democracy, not a flawed one. At least according to the widely respected Economist Democracy Index.

Taiwan is more democratic than Canada and Germany. And a lot more than the US, but that’s not surprising.

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4 points

Countries helping arm one another is good. Every country should have the capacity to defend itself. My country got steamrolled during WWII because we had few and outdated wapens

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1 point

Gives me Cuban Missile Crisis vibes.

I’m not as happy that the US sells arms, but I’m convinced by the geopolitical climate that arming Ukraine and now I might add arming Taiwan is better for the world than worse. Refilling Israel’s Iron Dome is probably a good idea too, though we are yet to see what the US sends and how defensive or offensive those weapons we send are.

There might be better comparisons though in the weird chess games we played in the middle east with Russia. They armed some insurgents, we armed some insurgents, etc. Afghanistan was a disaster for Russia too, though it was worse for us.

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