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MBFC: Left-Center - Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: Mostly Factual - United States of America
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Always good to start your day with some good news.
2 - 1, wow
This is actually pretty dangerous news. Hillary was also leading in the polls.
This is early voting, not really a poll. People are interviewed upon exiting the polls and that data set is linked to the registration data for the precinct. So, there is no data model applied as there is in the polls you are familiar with.
Gah! Why does everyone bring this up? Was no one around in October 2016?!
James Comey, Director FBI, publicly announced they were reopening the investigation into Clinton’s emails, 3 weeks before the election.
Liberals are always saying, “But her emails, hurr!” Yes, her emails. This was explosive news and handed the election to Trump. Doesn’t matter that Clinton later faced no consequences, all the public heard was, “Meh. Maybe she is a criminal. We’re having another look.”
The polls were right, Clinton would have won if not for this absolute bombshell at the 11th hour.
The polls still had her winning up to election night.
These poll numbers are at best worthless, and at worse they’ll make people not vote because it appears that Harris has it in the bag.
Won’t be satisfied until she wins 2-1
Not really surprising and honestly a little disheartening because traditionally Republicans usually vote on election day. Looks like another indicator that somehow, given all the information available on both candidates it’s going to be a close race. I’m sure Harris will win the popular vote but it’ll again come down to the swing states and the electoral College.
Nope. Republicans vote early too. They have been moving to early voting Besides, Harris has this. Professor Allan Lichtman actually has a proven scientific method that works all the way back to 1860. He has arguably predicted the last ten elections accurately. He predicted a Trump win in 2016 - only he and another predicted person that. ALL the polls were massively wrong.
Most crosstabs in polling that specifically ask, “what single issue is so important to you that it will drive your vote?” or something similar, show that the single biggest issue (plurality, not majority) is abortion.
I think women are going to show up. I don’t think this gamble with young men is going to match polling. Women as a group outnumber men, out-register men, and always show up to the polls in greater numbers.
Last I checked Harris has a larger lead with women than does Trump with men, with a smaller population size to boot.
I had someone come to my door to make sure I was voting, and they asked me what my number one issue was and I couldn’t pick one. They listed off things like abortion, the economy, foreign affairs, etc. and I still couldn’t pick. It’s all fucked.
