Republican county commissioner has been unseated in Michigan after losing to her Democratic challenger by 20 percentage points.

Chris Kleinjans won an Ottawa County election on Tuesday with 60 percent of the vote share, while the Republican incumbent Lucy Ebel lost, having received 40 percent.

Michigan is a battleground state that will be key to November’s presidential election. Donald Trump won the county with 61 percent of the vote in 2020.

189 points

More of this please and thank you.

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89 points

You can definitely expect more. Democrats are consistently over-performing versus the polls.

Polling is kinda broken right now.

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65 points

I blame phone companies for that. They’ve had the ability to block scam calls for a while but haven’t because it makes them money. Now people don’t even bother answering their phones anymore, especially if it’s an unknown number, so the only people who respond to polls aren’t representative of the population.

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30 points

Blame the FCC. It used to be illegal to telemarket to cell numbers.

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14 points

And really people are not making phone calls nearly as much as they used to. The pollsters need to find a reasonably unbiased method to sample people on other communication methods.

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11 points

I would like a federal law that allows me to receive $1 from any caller if I decide I didn’t like the call. If at any point there is a failure to trace the call back to the caller, that point of failure pays the dollar on behalf of the true culprit.

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9 points

It’s been over a decade since I answered a call from a number that wasn’t programmed into my phone. I won’t return the call unless a voicemail is left.

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3 points

my phone will actually tell me ahead of time if it thinks the call is spam, a scam, or if it’s a business what kind of business it’s likely to be. but yeah, still don’t answer anything that isn’t in my contacts or from my local area code. text me or leave a voicemail. or don’t, I don’t really wanna talk to anybody as a rule anyway.

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2 points

I don’t answer any call that’s not in my phone from anywhere that’s not in my work region of like a third of the country and my own area code. Most scams for me are either my area code or come out or California for some reason.

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14 points
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sadfsdfasfasf

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41 points

Even if Dems are outperforming polls, I don’t want anyone feeling comfortable that Biden is going to win. Literally everyone needs to feel panic and dread about the upcoming election, and vote in downticket races as well.

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11 points

Its funny right? Polling has been broken since basically post 2012.

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-1 points
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Removed by mod
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94 points

Holy shit. I’m not sure people understand how big a deal this is for Ottawa County.

Ottawa County contains the town that voted to close its library over LGBT books. Ottawa County is where Betsy DeVos lives. Ottawa County had their commission taken over by a far right group called Ottawa Impact that tried to oust the county health officer and replace her with someone completely unqualified because of mask requirements.

Ottawa County is home to a congressional district that hasn’t gone Democrat since the civil rights movement.

This is kind of huge.

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19 points

Is this Holland michigan? With the windmills and shit?

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19 points

Is this Holland michigan? With the windmills and shit?

Yes. I’m not sure why you’re being downvoted. Specifically this commissioner represents parts of Holland Township and Park Township, apparently.

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6 points

Ha I just went to see the tulips there

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5 points

As someone who’s never heard of the place: Ottawa county honestly sounds like a shit place to live.

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1 point

It’s a gorgeous county, with bike trails and lakeshore all over the place, but yeah, politically it’s awful. When I was buying my house there was one I looked at that happened to be just over the line into Ottawa County and that was one of the reasons I decided against it.

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36 points

Well a 31 point swing is a promising signal.

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15 points

A. It was a recall election (though still good).

B. Was this district affected by redistricting?

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5 points

It’s a county office, which usually means the “district” is the whole county. Unless it happens to work differently in this specific case.

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8 points

Nope, Ottawa County is still just a county. However, in the last election, the county commission got taken over by Ottawa Impact, a group of extremely far right activists that have proven very popular to a smaller segment of the population, and wildly unpopular with the majority of people in and around the county. It appears that there’s starting to be a backlash to their idiocy and hatred from the folks with any sense, it’s good to see

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7 points

Michigan is a battleground state that will be key to November’s presidential election.

Friendly reminder that, thanks to the US-backed genocide of Palestinians in Gaza, we saw fully 13% of Democrats refuse to support Joe Biden in the Michigan primary

This, in a state where Democrat primary turnout was 768,158 relative to Republican primary turnout of 1,113,719.

This war is going to Jimmy Carter the Democrats in November, if they don’t change course in a hurry.

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26 points
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13% of democrats submitted a protest vote. That is not the same as refusing to vote for Biden in November. I hope that anyone who supports the Palestinian cause can recognize just how much worse it will get under a Trump administration.

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2 points

Lol unless Biden changes course, SE Michigan alone will ensure his loss of the state.

Dearborn does not screw around and will happily take 4 years of Trump if their demands are not met. They were very aware of Hillary’s sketchy past as Secretary of State when she ran in 2016 and she lost Michigan because only 10k people didn’t vote for her.

And iirc the total turnout was already like 400k less compared to Obama.

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-3 points

That is not the same as refusing to vote for Biden in November.

That’s a clear signal by registered Democrats of their abstention of support for Biden.

House Reps aren’t seeing these huge protest votes.

I hope that anyone who supports the Palestinian cause can recognize just how much worse it will get under a Trump

I hope that Biden realizes he can’t wait until 2025 to change course in Palestine. Not when 1.4M lives are on the line.

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1 point
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Not really, this is the damage to your brain that insufficient evidence can cause. Michigan has a storied history of large “Uncommitted” votes in uncontested primaries. For example, “Uncommitted” picked up 16.08% of the vote against Obama in 2012. If anything, this is evidence that support for Biden is stronger that would be expected in Michigan.

Also, you claim it’s evidence that registered Democrats are abandoning Biden; Michigan has an open primary.

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1 point

Should we tell him?

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